Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Eating Oil and Soil – Imminent Collapse of Agriculture in Punjab

(This article was published by The Tribune on 4th Feb 2010.)

History of Agriculture is approximately 10,000 years old. This is when some of our ancestors changed their life style of hunter-gatherer and started crop production that required relatively permanent settlements which subsequently turned into our villages.

Punjab, thanks to its Aab (fresh water resources) and deep fertile soils provided a natural package which helped our past few hundred generations to have a sustainable harvest. They were not educated by famous agricultural universities but somehow most of them sustained by not over exploiting their soil and water resources. They might have to divide their parcel of land to smaller portions to their next generations, but the quality of parcels was maintained. Soil was neither poisoned with artificial fertilizers, chemical insecticides, pesticides nor compacted with heavy tractors and other farm machinery. May be they were simply lucky not to have electric or diesel powered tube-wells capable of sucking the ground water from such depths that it might need next few generations to live without water and give enough time to nature to fill up the ground aquifer again.

Then something changed in the 2nd half of the last century. With the emergence of world industrialization and globalisation Punjab farmers got struck with greatest curse, hailed at the time as ‘Green Revolution’. Farmers were led to believe that their land can produce more and more if they get rid of their bullocks and buy a tractor, not to dirty their hands with cow manure and use bags of Urea instead, not to waste time in sowing a crop for green manure or give a rest to the soil by having a lay year but go for intensive cultivation as suggested by the American educated Agricultural Scientists of Punjab Agricultural University. These advocates of ‘Green Revolution’ also advocated the heavy use of poisonous chemicals, mainly produced by multinational chemical companies who were offering scholarships to scientist prepared to promote their way of thinking. Some of these crops were not suitable to Punjab’s soils and climate and thus required enormous artificial irrigation compelling the farmers to install centrifugal pumps left right and centre, running on cheap subsadised electricity or diesel fuel. Sometimes they were duped to have free electricity in exchange of their votes, which encouraged them to cultivate paddy crop on barren sandy lands. It gave them an illusion of prosperity whilst sucking many of them deeper into financial debt. If my grandfather was ridding a horse, my father rode a motor cycle, I must drive a car and the next generation would obviously like to fly an airplane. To stay in that unwinnable race, inadvertently Punjab farmers were increasing the fossil fuel content in the production chain.

Oil (Fossil Fuels) is simply the solar energy stored as Hydro-Carbon deposits under the crust of earth over a period of millions of years. Human specie was unlucky to be smart enough to pump and burn more than half of it in just over 100 years. No one is denying that we humans are consuming fossil fuels at such a rate that can’t be replaced in few thousand generations time frame. The only difference of opinion between various researchers is whether there is enough left over for 30 years or 50. This 20 year difference is simply because computers don’t know how much Saudi Arabian, Iranian or Russian government is lying about their oil reserves. This is not to suggest that there will be no oil left somewhere deep underground but it is to say that it will not be economical to extract it any more. In other words, it might need to burn 2 drums of diesel to produce 1 drum. Very much like Ethanol production fantasy in the USA where they are burning tenfold quantity of fossil fuels to produce equivalent quantity of Ethanol.

Farmers all over the world, including that of Punjab, have/had a culture of not selling their farm land. They would rather add to their holding if possible and pass it on to the next generation. This is programmed in their genes to make sure their off springs have a better chance of survival and keep the gene pool alive. One should not be surprised to see a large proportion of court cases related to land disputes. Land is valued so high in mind controlled by our genes that one can kill his real brother for the sake of gaining an extra piece of land. What we did in the last 50-60 years was not in line with the rules of nature. We developed a delusion that we can control the forces of nature. Instead of acting as care-taker of land for coming generations, we started to act like Land-Owner.

So where does it lead us? Is there any hope of survival? Fortunately this entire mirage is coming to an end in the near future. The good news is that as much as multi-national companies like to sell their chemicals, fertilizers and machinery to toiling farmers of Punjab, they won’t be able to produce and transport all that without cheap oil either. Fortunately, for some of us, who haven’t been ruined by unserviceable debts, who haven’t sold our farming land to city developers and who haven’t started taking drugs to avoid the harsh reality, there is still a hope to go back to our pre green-revolutionary way of farming based on locally available resources. Rejuvenate our soil by adding organic manure and choosing sustainable cropping pattern not dependant on cheap oil inputs.

Natures’ court is very unforgiving to those who try to be smarter than her but at the same time she may consider an appeal from those who acknowledge their mistake and undertake to correct them. Lets all try to understand the importance of Guru’s following words.

“Pawan Guru, Pani Pita, Mata Dharat Mahat”.

7 comments:

  1. I was told by a journalist, who contacted Director Agriculture Punjab for his comments, that he was visibly upset but couldn’t comment. Dr. G.S. Kalkat of Punjab Farmers Commission is also very angry and was thinking of writing to The Tribune in protest but backed off due to lack of courage or knowledge or both.

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  2. I am not a proponent of mechanised agriculture nor an advocate of organic farming as such but would just like to comment that the viwpoint taken by you is too simplistic, obvious and a little biased.
    If we go back 10000 yrs and start thinking like we are now we should never have started agriculture in the first place. We should have remained food gatherers and the all important food security (So we think) needed by the human race would not have been there. This would hve ensured that our race would have been either remained in very small numbers or the most likely outcome would have been that we would have been wiped out from the face of the earth. We should remember human being is physically the weakest being on earth which gave our brain the evolutionary strength.

    Why did our ancestors start agriculture in the first place? Then why did we try to improve it over the years?

    Answers to this lye locked in our genes. It has nothing to do with agriculture but the basic nature of a human being. Have you ever thought what has given you the power to think about right and wrong and then debate on it? It is security from food, weather, furies of nature etc.

    Why dont we go back and live in jungles and caves instead of the comforts of our homes where in all probability the weather is controlled as well. Where leave alone wild animals, not even a human being can enter without our knowledge/ permission. Why did we not write this peice of info by hand and posted it the old way instead of using the computer? We cannot be selective of the technologies we think are good for the environment and discard those we think might be bad.

    Nature created and wired human beings in this way and if our ancestors would hve acted in any contrarian way we would in all probability be extinct. Nature they say has its own ways so if too many humans will crowd this earth then nature might be able to bring about a balance.

    There has been a lot of debate on this topic and numerous books written but I think everyone is as ignorant about the outcome as the other.Doomsayers have been predicting the collapse of the universe since the last century and most of their doom predictions have been proved wrong.

    I am not advocating wrong agricultural practices here but we simply cannot do anything in isolation. Good practices should be adopted within the socio-economic constraints of our society to be successful

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  3. Comments by Satnam Bajwa.

    There is an old saying in hindi, “dekho rey kismat ka khel, pade farsi veche tel" which may not be valid in Australia now days as people can do real state and poetry together, however it may still be valid in India where you are judged by what you do not what you know.



    Satnam Bajwa
    Systems Engineer

    Fujitsu Australia Limited
    2 Julius Avenue, North Ryde NSW 2113, Australia
    T +61 2 9776 4680 M +61 417 651 374
    satnam.bajwa@au.fujitsu.com
    au.fujitsu.com

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  4. Hi Kler,
    (Sandeep Kler is a resident of Ludhiana and a graduate in Agricultural Engineering from PAU Ludhiana)

    I agree with your assessment that my viewpoint is too simplistic, obvious and a little biased.

    I can't be unbiased and I believe in simple designs and solutions. I am not saying that my viewpoint is absolutely correct. As it turned out that I that most of my viewpoint from 20 years ago have turned upside down.

    Either way it is good to open the dialogue.

    Dara

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  5. Thats good. So we should carry this whole thing further by suggesting a simple solution to this complex problem...

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  6. Our simple and poor farmers badly need a simple solution and that was, in fact, the gist of my reply.

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  7. Hi Kler, let’s do a joint venture. I focus on diagnostics and you give prescriptions. My diagnostic strongly suggest that current model is not sustainable and therefore heading for a collapse. Over to you for possible solutions.

    ReplyDelete